“Congratulations to all!” Trump wrote on social media as he celebrated his 80th birthday Sunday with a UFC cage match fight at the White House.

and then

“I hereby fully authorize the toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and, simultaneously herewith, authorize the immediate removal of the United States Naval blockade,”

What can go wrong? Let me count the ways …

1️⃣ Iran signalled implementation would not start until the signing, which key mediator Pakistan said would occur Friday in Switzerland.

  • Tяump then walked back saying the strait wouldn’t open until Friday’s signing - so he isn’t authorised?

2️⃣ Pakistan first announced the deal, with Prime Minister Sharif saying “both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.”

  • Unclear how 5 days to signature is ‘immediate’ and how long ‘permanent’ is.

3️⃣ 60 days to resolve what to do about Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium and its atomic program. (That took years to resolve in Tehran’s 2015 nuclear deal with world powers.)

  • Tяump unilaterally withdrew America from the accord in his first term. (See also ‘2’ re permanent)

4️⃣ Israel’s continued hostilities with the Iranian-backed militia Hezbollah in Lebanon, where Israel bombed Beirut’s southern suburbs Sunday, nearly derailed the negotiations.

  • Remains unclear whether Israel agreed to that term.